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INCIDENT REPLAY · 2026-01-02

CANTV (AS8048) provider-to-peer leak, Venezuela

Between 15:30 and 17:45 UTC AS8048 re-advertised routes learned from a transit provider to a peer, breaking valley-free routing. It drew attention because of political events the same day; Cloudflare counted eleven similar leaks by the same AS since December.

Route leakLeak readvertisementCatalog confidence: high

A reconstruction, not the operator's network. Hammerhead's authors rebuilt the change from the public record as a small network of their own. No configuration here is the operator's. What follows is what the tool reported on that reconstruction; it is not a claim that the tool would have prevented the outage.

What happened

Who: CANTV (AS8048) caused; routes from provider Sparkle (AS6762) passed to V.tal GlobeNet (AS52320); Dayco Telecom (AS21980) prefixes in 200.74.224.0/20 affected

The summary at the top is paraphrased from the sources below. Hammerhead's catalog rates its confidence in this account high.

Sources

What the public record says

  • Between 15:30 and 17:45 UTC AS8048 re-advertised routes learned from a transit provider to a peer, breaking valley-free routing. It drew attention because of political events the same day; Cloudflare counted eleven similar leaks by the same AS since December.
  • Who: CANTV (AS8048) caused; routes from provider Sparkle (AS6762) passed to V.tal GlobeNet (AS52320); Dayco Telecom (AS21980) prefixes in 200.74.224.0/20 affected

What the reconstruction assumed

Decided by Hammerhead's authors to build a network that runs. None of it describes the operator's network.

Everything below is ours.

  • The family template (tools/replays/gen_family_leak.py): CANTV-1 (AS 8048) learns the victim's routes through SPARKLE-1 (AS 6762), and GLOBENET-1 (AS 52320) prefers what CANTV-1 sends it and filters nothing on that session. A transit carries the victim's routes to the same network the ordinary way, and a third party sits behind it.
  • The edit is assumed. Before the change CANTV-1's export toward GLOBENET-1 is a prefix-list permitting its own block; after it, the list is no longer attached. No operator in this family has published what was changed.
  • Cisco IOS syntax, and stand-in address space except where a prefix is on the record.
  • The accepting network's other sessions are filtered and limited, so that the audit's finding is about this session and not the template.

What Hammerhead said

Each run below is pinned by Hammerhead's replay tests at commit 0ee9732: the verdict and the quoted text are checked against the tool's output, and a run that disagrees fails the test. Reason lines are copied verbatim; a pinned line can be part of a longer reason. Every preflight run uses --max-blast-radius 100, so a change is never counted as caught merely because it touched many devices of a small network.

every network in one snapshot

now: fail

On the reconstruction, hammerhead preflight on a before and an after snapshot returned fail, for the reasons below.

Reason text pinned (some reason contains each line)

  • CANTV-1 would announce to 172.16.3.1 (AS 52320) routes it learns from other networks
  • path change:
  • now through AS

First run, before the fixes this batch prompted

first: fail
  • forwarding-semantics gate: 1 device(s) changed configuration that reroutes or rewrites traffic without changing any route or ACL — CANTV-1: BGP peerings and their policy attachments pass --allow-flow-changes to accept it
  • path change: 1 destination(s) still delivered would be reached through a network their traffic does not cross today — 200.74.224.0/24 on DAYCO-1 (200.74.224.1) from GLOBENET-1, X-1 now through AS 6762, AS 8048. No flow is lost, which is what a route leak looks like from inside the model. Pass --allow-path-changes if moving this traffic is intended

Pinned in tests/gauntlet/replays-leak.yaml.

CANTV-1's own router

now: fail

On the reconstruction, hammerhead preflight on a before and an after snapshot with --allow-flow-changes returned fail, for the reasons below.

Reason text pinned (some reason contains each line)

  • CANTV-1 would announce to 172.16.3.1 (AS 52320) routes it learns from other networks

First run, before the fixes this batch prompted

first: pass

Pinned in tests/gauntlet/replays-leak.yaml.

GLOBENET-1's own router, no change: the audit

now: fail (finding)

An audit of one snapshot, no change: hammerhead nqe-library --mode run, check nqe.bgp.ebgp_peer_unfiltered_and_unlimited. Pinned status: fail, a finding whose evidence contains the text below.

Evidence pinned (the evidence contains each line)

  • GLOBENET-1
  • 8048

First run, before the fixes this batch prompted

first: pass (no finding)

Pinned in tests/gauntlet/replays-leak.yaml.

Limits

  • The configurations are a reconstruction. Where the record is silent, the assumptions above fill the gap; if one is wrong, the replay is wrong in that respect.
  • A verdict describes the reconstructed network's converged state. Timing, traffic load, and anything a device does that no configuration states, such as software reacting to a health check or a firmware bug, are outside it.
  • A pass is reported as a pass. A fail says a gate fired on the reconstruction, nothing more.
  • Why the catalog counts this outage as in scope: Eleven repeats mean a standing export-policy gap, not a change; a config audit for 'provider-learned routes exportable to peers' finds it directly.

Imported from docs/replays/cantv-2026/FACTS.md and the replay manifests in the Hammerhead repository at commit 0ee9732.